Projected average change in mean temperature for 2081-2100 based on RCP2.6 (50th percentile)

This map shows the projected average change in mean temperature (°C) for 2081-2100, with respect to the reference period of 1986-2005 for RCP2.6. The median projected change across the ensemble of CMIP5 climate models is shown. 

             For more maps on projected change, please visit the Canadian Climate Data and Scenarios (CCDS) site: https://climate-scenarios.canada.ca/?page=download-cmip5.

Data and Resources

Additional Info

Field Value
Last Updated April 17, 2026, 17:25 (UTC)
Created April 17, 2026, 17:25 (UTC)
contact_email f.ccds.info-info.dscc.f@ec.gc.ca
contact_person {"en": "Government of Canada; Environment and Climate Change Canada; Science and Technology Branch (STB) / Atmospheric Science and Technology Directorate (ASTD) / Climate Research Division (CRD),,f.ccds.info-info.dscc.f@ec.gc.ca", "fr": "Gouvernement du Canada; Environnement et Changement climatique Canada; Sciences et de la technologie / Science et technologie de l'atmosphère / Division de la recherche climatique,f.ccds.info-info.dscc.f@ec.gc.ca"}
criticality_level []
data_dictionary ["climatology_meterology_atmosphere"]
geographic_scope []
open_canada_collection fgp
open_canada_date_published 2016-08-31 00:00:00
open_canada_keywords {"en": ["climate", "Climate", "Climate change", "Weather and Climate", "Provide Climate Information Products and Services", "Expand Scientific Knowledge for Climate Monitoring and Prediction", "Science and Technology Branch", "Atmospheric Science and Technology", "Unclassified", "National (CA)"], "fr": ["Climat", "Changement climatique", "Temps et climat", "Fournir des services et des produits d'information sur le climat", "Approfondir les connaissances scientifiques et formuler de nouvelles méthodes de recherche le climat et le changement climatique", "Direction générale des sciences et de la technologie", "Sciences et technologie atmosphériques", "Non Classifié", "National (CA)"]}
open_canada_subject ["nature_and_environment", "science_and_technology"]
sensitivity_level unrestricted
title_fr Changement moyen projeté de la température moyenne pour les années 2081 à 2100 d’après le profil 2,6 (50e centile)
update_frequency as_needed